Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.206972 0.240382 0.279336 0.328581 0.389849 0.464475 5.636706e-01
2025-02-16 0.156764 0.198321 0.252771 0.331300 0.445125 0.610045 8.792477e-01
2025-02-23 0.127698 0.171647 0.234338 0.334387 0.498664 0.775836 1.327010e+00
2025-03-02 0.108431 0.152558 0.219749 0.336042 0.548137 0.958335 1.947753e+00
2025-03-09 0.094095 0.137186 0.206284 0.334099 0.589095 1.147021 2.774041e+00
2025-03-16 0.082487 0.123683 0.192530 0.327017 0.616595 1.324035 3.804017e+00
2025-03-23 0.075929 0.117123 0.188940 0.337486 0.684943 1.647571 5.893879e+00
2025-03-30 0.068336 0.107585 0.178146 0.330441 0.710035 1.873857 8.165102e+00
2025-04-06 0.063449 0.102041 0.173707 0.335624 0.768566 2.261221 1.272660e+01
2025-04-13 0.058307 0.095341 0.165888 0.331217 0.799574 2.586106 1.866723e+01
2025-04-20 0.054905 0.091415 0.162935 0.337531 0.865999 3.142104 3.192332e+01
2025-04-27 0.052234 0.088529 0.161631 0.347618 0.950737 3.919175 6.214491e+01
2025-05-04 0.049514 0.085308 0.159288 0.355022 1.033858 4.868363 1.357985e+02
2025-05-11 0.047241 0.082730 0.158004 0.365261 1.136565 6.217085 3.948670e+02
2025-05-18 0.044900 0.079754 0.155375 0.371116 1.227589 7.783144 1.560549e+03
2025-05-25 0.042602 0.076623 0.151934 0.373762 1.308526 9.600771 1.273367e+04
2025-06-01 0.040278 0.073206 0.147344 0.371764 1.368160 11.506209 1.944883e+06
2025-06-08 0.037869 0.069388 0.141296 0.363693 1.393369 13.158202 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036663 0.068064 0.141255 0.375759 1.540895 17.945253 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034634 0.064749 0.135754 0.367660 1.565983 20.670688 NaN
2025-06-29 0.033382 0.063062 0.134256 0.373625 1.687776 27.414802 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031779 0.060450 0.130021 0.368555 1.734002 32.860762 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030773 0.059122 0.129064 0.375821 1.879239 45.710372 NaN